Artificial Intelligence Will Make Your Nonprofit Smarter
As a recent blog in NonProfit PRO described, artificial intelligence (AI) is all the rage in the nonprofit world. Traditionally slow to embrace technologies employed in the for-profit world, nonprofits have actually been early adopters of AI.
Unlike some technologies, which burst onto the scene but then fail to live up to the hype, we believe that AI is here to stay and that it will become an increasingly important tool for fundraisers. AI points us toward more likely situations and prospects saving time, money and heartache. That’s why we have formalized a partnership with boodleAI, a fast-rising star in the application of AI to fundraising. Turnkey looks for, “what’s next?” This is what’s next.
AI is the next logical step in how we find and interact with supporters. It allows us to take the gigabytes of data that we have on current and potential constituents and makes it actionable instead of just making for good theoretical discussion in a boardroom.
Until now, nonprofits typically relied on demographic data to understand its supporters, creating the familiar “donor personas” based on information in their database. The for-profit world also utilizes customer personas extensively. For example, Facebook offers to “clone” a customer list based on current customer demographics to target advertising to a new group.
But targeting based on demographics has serious limitations that are rooted in psychology, limitations that goes to the core of why individuals behave in the ways that they do.
Most people believe that individual personality traits, what psychologists call “dispositions,” are responsible for the majority of a person’s behavior. Let’s say that Person A gives to a charity supporting people experiencing homelessness. We might infer that they do so because they are a generous person, someone who has empathy for the plight of those without homes. Or we decide that maybe they had been in that situation themselves sometime in their past. We like to believe that their behavior is rooted in the kind of person they are.
We might try to use this information to predict how Person A would behave in new situations, like donating to a health-related or an animal welfare organization. But it turns out that the type of information about personality that most laypeople would want to have before making a prediction would prove to be of relatively little value. A half century of research has taught psychologists that in novel situations, one cannot predict with any accuracy how a particular person will respond using information about an individual’s personal dispositions, or even about that individual’s past behavior.
This so-called “predictability ceiling” is typically about 30%. As an example, let’s say we have a personality test that reliably measures how Person A feels about cheating. Using this information, we could predict how often Person A would cheat (or not cheat) on a test only about 30% of the time. Moreover, the 30% value is an upper limit. For most novel behaviors in most domains, (think, responding to a request to donate to a nonprofit) psychologists cannot come close to that.
Despite such evidence, however, most people staunchly believe that individual differences or traits can be used to predict how people will behave in new situations. Such “dispositionism” is widespread in our culture. That’s why predicting who is likely to donate to a charity based on matching donor personas makes intuitive sense. Yes, it’s useful information, but placing too much faith in demographics to predict behavior is a fool’s errand.
Where AI Comes In
Here’s where AI steps into the picture. In psychologist-speak, if dispositions (personality traits) account for no more than 30% of a person’s response to a novel situation, what is responsible for the other 70%? The truth is that most behavior depends on the situation, the environment. Using a nonprofit’s database, AI is a tool that allows the nonprofit to deliver a message tailored to an individual in a way and at a time that makes it most likely that they will respond positively.
As an example, Turnkey analyzed data from 160,000 participants in 2017 peer-to-peer walk campaigns to determine who was most likely to activate to fundraise. Among what we found was that participants who provided an email address were 2.8 times more likely to activate, those who participated in the previous year were twice as likely to activate and those raising money for a large organization were twice as likely to activate compared to those registering for a walk benefitting a medium-sized organization. These data points are about the situation.
All pretty interesting stuff! The problem is, how do you make it actionable? AI tools use this type of data, in conjunction with demographic data, to tell the fundraising organization which individuals in their database to contact, when to do so and suggests what to say to them to maximize the chance they will respond positively. Using both kinds of data, the predictability ceiling is much higher.
That’s just one example of how AI is impacting the nonprofit sector. The bottom line is that AI will make nonprofits smarter and will provide them with an edge to fulfill on their missions. That’s why is AI in your future. Who wouldn’t want a smarter organization?
Katrina VanHuss and Otis Fulton have written a book, Dollar Dash, on the psychology of peer-to-peer fundraising. Click here to download the first chapter, courtesy of NonProfit PRO!
Otis Fulton, Ph.D., spent most of his career in the education industry, working at the psychometric research and development firm MetaMetrics Inc., Pearson Education and others. Since 2013, he has focused on the nonprofit sector, applying psychology to fundraising and donor behavior at Turnkey. He is the co-author of the 2017 book, ”Dollar Dash: The Behavioral Economics of Peer-to-Peer Fundraising” and is a frequent speaker at national nonprofit conferences. With Katrina VanHuss, he co-authors a blog at NonProfit PRO, “Peeling the Onion,” on the intersection of psychology and philanthropy.
Otis is a much-sought-after copywriter for nonprofit fundraising messages. He has written campaigns for UNICEF, St. Jude’s Children’s Research Hospital, March of Dimes, Susan G. Komen, the USO and dozens of other organizations. He has a Ph.D. in social psychology from Virginia Commonwealth University and a Bachelor of Arts from the University of Virginia, where he also played on UVA’s first ACC champion basketball team.
Katrina VanHuss has helped national nonprofits raise funds and friends since 1989 when she founded Turnkey. Her client’s successes and her dedication to research have made her a sought-after speaker, presenting at national conferences for Blackbaud, Peer to Peer Professional Forum, Nonprofit PRO, The Need Help Foundation and her clients’ national meetings. The firm’s work is underpinned by the study and application of behavioral economics and social psychology. Turnkey provides project engagements, coaching, counsel and staffing to nonprofits seeking to improve revenue or create new revenue. Her work extends into organizational alignment efforts and executive coaching.
Katrina also regularly shares her wit and business experiences on her and Otis Fulton's NonProfit PRO blog “Peeling the Onion.” When not writing or researching, Katrina likes to make things — furniture from reclaimed wood, new gardens, food with no recipe. Katrina’s favorite Saturday is spent cleaning out the garage, mowing the grass, making something new, all while listening to loud music by now-deceased black women, throwing in a few sets on the weight bench off and on, then collapsing on the couch with her husband Otis to gang-watch new Netflix series whilst drinking sauvignon blanc.
Katrina grew up on a Virginia beef cattle and tobacco farm with her three brothers. She is accordingly skilled in hand to hand combat and witty repartee — skills gained at the expense of her brothers. Katrina’s claim to fame is having made it to the “American Gladiator” Richmond competition as a finalist in her late 20s, progressing in the competition until a strangely large blonde woman knocked her off a pedestal with an oversized pain-inducing Q-tip. Katrina’s mantra for life is “Be nice. Do good. Embrace embarrassment.” Clearly she’s got No. 3 down.